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Polish employers anticipate modest payroll growth in Q1 2012: Manpower Employment Outlook Survey

 

Fewer employers plan to add to their payrolls in the coming quarter, but the number of those expecting reductions remains stable. Job prospects strongest in Transport, Storage & Communication and Finance & Business Services industry sectors, as well as in the South region.

 

Warsaw, Poland, 13 December 2011 – ManpowerGroup, the innovative workforce solutions company, released today its forward-looking hiring confidence index, the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey. According to the research results, Poland’s employers are anticipating a  conservative hiring pace in the first quarter of 2012 compared to the last months of 2011. The Net Employment Outlook stands at +3%, which is down 4 percentage points compared with the last quarter of 2011, and is the least optimistic report of employer hiring intentions since the survey was introduced in Poland in Q2 2008.

 

Of the 750 Polish employers surveyed, 14 percent expect to add to their workforces in the coming quarter, 11 percent plan reductions and 71 percent expect no change in payrolls in the January-March time frame. Hiring prospects weaken by 2 percentage points year-over-year.

 

 “The labor market is traditionally less active in first quarter of the year. Additionally, alarming news from the euro zone continues to raise anxiety regarding  2012 business demand and hiring possibilities. We observe some of our clients putting recruitment processes on hold. Meanwhile the interest in flexible workforce solutions is growing, as these solutions make it easier to adapt to uncertain market conditions. We expect that the demand for professionals will remain high as employers continue to look for the specific skill sets that can help their enterprises grow,” said Iwona Janas, Country Manager ManpowerGroup in Poland.

 

Positive hiring intentions for first quarter 2012 are reported by employers in six of 10 industry sectors[1]. However, the trend over time points to fewer opportunities overall for Polish job seekers: quarter-over-quarter, employers report weaker hiring prospects in seven sectors; and year-over-year, the Outlooks decline in five of the 10 industry sectors.

 

The strongest Net Employment Outlooks for the January-March time frame are reported by employers from the Transport, Storage & Communication (+15%) and Finance & Business Services (+12%) industry sectors. These results are both similar to those reported one year ago. Job seekers in the Construction (+8%) industry sector may also expect some offers in the quarter ahead; the Outlook declines slightly from previous quarter, but improves from Q1 2011 by 8 percentage points, suggesting employers may be moderately more confident in their ability to justify adding to their payrolls compared to last winter season. Modest hiring plans are reported by employers from the Wholesale & Retail Trade (+7%) industry sector; the Outlook is slightly weaker than in Q4 2011, but improves 3 percentage points year over year.

 

 Employer hiring plans are least positive in the Agriculture, Hunting, Forestry & Fishing (‑12%) and the Electricity, Gas & Water Supply (-11%) industry sectors. The negative Outlooks signal more employers in these sectors plan to reduce than increase their workforces in the coming quarter. In both sectors the job prospects weaken quarter over quarter and year over year.

 

For the first time in two years the Net Employment Outlook for Manufacturing industry sector is negative and stands at a stagnant -1%; employer hiring intentions  weaken considerably from both Q1 and Q4 2011.

 

“The Manufacturing industry sector is most sensitive to Europe’s economic uncertainty. Obviously, many sector employers are scaling back recruitment activity and taking the time to evaluate market trends before committing to additional long-term payroll investments. In times like these, many of our clients — especially large manufacturing companies — are more eager to implement innovative workforce solutions, such as outsourcing workforce-intensive initiatives, for example production or logistics support,” adds Iwona Janas.

 

Regional Outlooks are modest and indicate the first-quarter hiring pace will slow in four of the six regions surveyed when compared to the last three months of 2011. Positive hiring intentions are reported In five of the six regions[2]

 

In the South region, employers report the strongest regional Outlook (+7%). In the North, hiring plans are cautiously optimistic; the Net Employment Outlook of +4% remains stable quarter over quarter and improves moderately year over year. Job prospects are weakest in the North-West region (0%). Hiring plans in the Central (+1%) region are the weakest since Quarter 2 2009; the Outlook declines by 5 percentage points quarter-over-quarter and by 13 percentage points year-over-year.

 

Elsewhere in the world, first-quarter hiring expectations are positive in 31 of 41 countries and territories, with Net Employment Outlooks declining from three months ago in 30 countries and territories. Outlooks are softer in 23 countries and territories compared to this time last year, but are stable or improved in 16. Hiring intentions for the first three months of the year are strongest in India, Brazil, Taiwan, Panama and Turkey and weakest in Greece — where employer hiring confidence continues to erode — and Hungary and Italy.

 

The next Manpower Employment Outlook Survey will be released on March 13, 2012 to report hiring expectations for the second quarter of 2012. The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is available free of charge to the public. Polish report can be downloaded from www.manpowergroup.pl. 

 

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Note to Editors

Commentary is based on seasonally adjusted data where available. Full survey results for each of the 41 countries and territories included in this quarter’s survey, plus regional and global comparisons, can be found in the ManpowerGroup Press Room at www.manpowergroup.com/meos.  In addition, all tables and graphs from the full report are available to be downloaded for use in publication or broadcast from the Manpower Web site at http://www.manpowergroup.com/press/meos.cfm.

 

About the Survey

The global leader in innovative workforce solutions, ManpowerGroup releases the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey quarterly to measure employers’ intentions to increase or decrease the number of employees in their workforce during the next quarter. It is the world’s most extensive, forward-looking employment survey, polling nearly 65,000 employers in 41 countries and territories (with 750 employers in Poland). The survey with Poland referring results can be found at www.manpowergroup.pl in Badania/ Dla Mediow section.

 

About ManpowerGroup in Poland

ManpowerGroup, the world leader in innovative workforce solutions, has been helping clients and candidates win in Poland since march 2001. With 47 branches in 28 cities across the nation, ManpowerGroup in Poland provides unique value to clients and candidates through ManpowerGroup™ Solutions, Manpower®, Experis™ and Right Management®. ManpowerGroup portfolio in Poland covers permanent, temporary and contract recruitment; employee assessment and selection; outsourcing and workforce consulting; career management and outplacement. More information is available at www.manpowergroup.pl.

 

About ManpowerGroup™

ManpowerGroup™ (NYSE: MAN), the world leader in innovative workforce solutions, creates and delivers high-impact solutions that enable our clients to achieve their business goals and enhance their competitiveness. With over 60 years of experience, our $22 billion company creates unique time to value through a comprehensive suite of innovative solutions that help clients win in the Human Age. These solutions cover an entire range of talent-driven needs from recruitment and assessment, training and development, and career management, to outsourcing and workforce consulting. ManpowerGroup maintains the world's largest and industry-leading network of nearly 3,900 offices in over 80 countries and territories, generating a dynamic mix of an unmatched global footprint with valuable insight and local expertise to meet the needs of its 400,000 clients per year, across all industry sectors, small and medium-sized enterprises, local, multinational and global companies. By connecting our deep understanding of human potential to the ambitions of clients, ManpowerGroup helps the organizations and individuals we serve achieve more than they imagined — because their success leads to our success. And by creating these powerful connections, we create power that drives organizations forward, accelerates personal success and builds more sustainable communities. We help power the world of work. The ManpowerGroup suite of solutions is offered through ManpowerGroup™ Solutions, Manpower®, Experis™ and Right Management®. Learn more about how ManpowerGroup can help you win in the Human Age at www.manpowergroup.com .